EMEA in Focus

John Mahama’s Ghana reboot

Opposition candidate John Mahama will return as Ghana’s President following his recent electoral victory. This is a massive comeback for Mahama, who left a shaky legacy. What can we expect from his upcoming administration? 

Join Vincent Rouget for a discussion with Control Risks experts Mikolaj Judson and Omobolade Olagunju about why the results turned out the way they did and how Mahama might reboot Ghana's economy. 

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After the polls: South Africa and Mozambique

In this two-part episode, take a deep dive into two southern African countries, South Africa and Mozambique. South Africa’s new government of national unity (GNU) has now reached its first one hundred days in office, a good time to take stock of what the coalition has achieved so far. And in Mozambique significant turbulence has surrounded the victory of Daniel Chapo, the ruling Frelimo party’s candidate, in recent elections.

 

Join Vincent Rouget for a conversation with Michael Bongani Reinders and Nkosiyapha Moyo, two Control Risks experts in Johannesburg, Tristan Gueret, one of our experts in Paris, and Mohamed Cassimjee, former diplomat who served in the South African Service and current Research Fellow at Oxford University. They unpack the post-election challenges of South Africa and Mozambique and what businesses and investors should know.

 

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Unpacking the 2024 Africa-Risk Reward Index

The Africa Risk-Reward Index – produced jointly by Control Risks and Oxford Economics Africa – is an authoritative guide for policymakers, business leaders and investors that illustrates the evolution of the investment landscape in major African markets, and provides a grounded, longer-term outlook of key trends shaping investment in these economies.   

Africa's outlook in 2024 is promising. But understanding the nuanced market dynamics and adopting a long-term perspective will be essential for stakeholders – from policymakers and investors to development agencies and civil society – as they navigate the evolving landscape to successful investment outcomes in 2024 and beyond. For African countries and investors looking to invest or grow their business in Africa, the time is now.  

Join Patricia Rodrigues, Associate Director Africa, for a discussion about the Index with Control Risks Analysts Tristan Gueret, Trevor Kibet Langat and Mikolaj Judson, and Oxford Economics Senior Economist Jee-A Van Der Linde.

Senegal’s new government after 100 days: populism-lite?

On 15 March 2024, Bassirou Diomaye Faye was released from prison after nearly a year in detention. Less than three weeks later, he was officially inaugurated as Senegal’s fifth president since independence, winning a resounding victory in the presidential election. His party promised sweeping changes to Senegal’s politics and economy. 

 

Join Vincent Rouget for a conversation with Control Risks’ experts in Dakar, Susanna Eusebi and Renna Hawili, as they discuss what to make of the first 100 days in office of Faye’s new government.

Global friends, local tensions – the two sides of Ruto’s Kenya

A little over a month ago, President William Ruto of Kenya made a triumphant state visit to the White House. During the visit, Kenya was designated a major NATO ally – the first in sub-Saharan Africa – and a few weeks later, Ruto attended the G7 Summit in Italy. But his government faces turmoil at home. Proposals for tax rises have sparked a wave of protests nationwide, leading to protesters invading parliament on 25 June and prompting Ruto to backtrack.

Join Control Risks Africa experts Vincent Rouget, Patricia Rodrigues and David Owiro as they discuss this narrative of contrast, unpacking Ruto’s foreign policy, globally and regionally, alongside an evaluation of his fiscal initiatives and his domestic position.

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President Tinubu struggles to turn the tide in Nigeria

A year ago, Bola Tinubu assumed office as the fifth president of Nigeria following the country’s return to democracy in 1999. The new government immediately took a series of bold actions – hailed by the markets – to liberalise the economy and boost investment. Results have been slow to materialise: inflation is soaring, investors are hesitant and security incidents are on the rise. 

Join Control Risks experts Vincent Rouget, Mikolaj Judson and Oludamilare Adesola as they assess President Tinubu’s first year in office, from his economic reforms to his approach to security issues around oil theft and militancy. Will his administration be able to turn ambitious rhetoric into concrete results? 

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Will President Ramaphosa survive South Africa’s pivotal elections?

After 30 years of dominating South African politics, the African National Congress (ANC) runs the serious risk of falling below 50% of the vote in the general elections – just short of an absolute majority in parliament.

Join Control Risks experts Vincent Rouget, Wayne Malgas and Michael Bongani Reinders for a discussion about the possible scenarios following the vote on 29 May, which sectors will be most impacted and what businesses should expect in terms of security risk.

Read more of our analysis on the 2024 South African general elections.

Key takeaways from African Mining Indaba 2024

Investing in African Mining Indaba is a staple in the mining industry’s calendar. Once again, attendees from all over the globe met to discuss and explore the latest trends and developments in Africa’s mineral industry under the theme “Embracing the power of positive disruption: A bold new future for African mining”.

Join Wayne Malgas for a conversation with Jon Greenaway and Vincent Rouget, experts in our Sydney, Johannesburg and London offices, respectively, as they discuss the main issues from this year’s Mining Indaba, which include topics around critical minerals and resource nationalism.

Find out more by visiting controlrisks.com.

The Africa Risk-Reward Index 2023

The Africa Risk-Reward Index – produced jointly by Control Risks and Oxford Economics Africa – is an authoritative guide for policy makers, business leaders and investors that illustrates the evolution of the investment landscape in major African markets and provides a grounded, longer-term outlook of key trends shaping investment in these economies. Although a polarised world poses serious risks for Africa, the continent has proved resilient time and time again, presenting significant opportunities. For African countries and investors, the time is now. 

 
Join  Patricia Rodrigues, Associate Director Africa, for a discussion about the Index with Tristan Gueret, Senior Analyst; Rose Mumanya, Analyst; and Jacques Nel, Head: Africa Macro,  at Oxford Economics Africa.  

Key takeaways from Investing in African Mining Indaba and anticipated trends at PDAC 2023

Investing in African Mining Indaba is a staple in the mining industry’s calendar. This year over 6,500 attendees came together to discuss and explore the latest trends and developments in Africa’s mineral industry. With ESG, digitization, diversity, transparency, decarbonisation and technology being high on the agenda , one thing was clear throughout: the time for African mining is now.  

Join Shawn Duthie and other experts from our Johannesburg, Paris, and Americas office as they discuss the key themes from this year’s Mining Indaba, how these key themes may transpire at the 2023 Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC), specific countries to watch, and what risks and opportunities companies can expect to face in the year ahead.